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Navigate the Future Blog

by Dave Van Dyke, President
Bridge Ratings Media Research

The Generational Impact of Social Media Growth Trends.

Dave Van Dyke April 16, 2024

The plateauing of social media use is an intriguing phenomenon, and several factors contribute to this trend.

Market Saturation:

In developed countries, the percentage of people who use the internet or own smartphones has reached a high level. As a result, the pool of potential new users is shrinking.

Conversely, in emerging and developing markets, internet use and smartphone ownership have been steadily increasing over the past few years. People in these regions are rapidly approaching the levels seen in more advanced economies.

Digital Divide:

Despite global progress, a digital divide persists. Wealthier countries still exhibit higher rates of internet use and smartphone ownership.

However, within countries, disparities based on age, education, income, and gender continue to shape who uses the internet and social media platforms.

Novelty Slip:

The initial excitement and novelty associated with social media may be waning for some users. What was once a fun pastime might now feel like a chore.

People may be reassessing their relationship with social media, leading to less frequent usage or shorter time spent on these platforms.

Increased Life Demands:

Time constraints play a role. As life becomes busier, individuals allocate less time to social media.

The youthful demographic tends to check news feeds, post statuses, and engage more actively. However, as responsibilities increase, social media usage may decline.

There is mounting evidence that negative content on social media has influenced users’ behavior.

Mental Health Impact:

Multiple studies have found a strong link between heavy social media use and an increased risk for depression, anxiety, loneliness, self-harm, and even suicidal thoughts.

Concerns and Mechanisms:

Social media use seems to trigger mental health problems, but researchers are still exploring the mechanisms behind this phenomenon.

Questions arise: Why do some individuals experience negative effects while others don’t? Why are these effects unevenly distributed among different groups, such as girls or young adults?

Possible Factors:

Comparison and Envy: Constant exposure to others’ curated lives can lead to social comparison and feelings of inadequacy.

Cyberbullying: Social media platforms can become breeding grounds for bullying and exclusion.

Body Image Pressure: Unrealistic body image standards are perpetuated, affecting users’ self-esteem.

Risk-Taking Behavior: Social media can normalize risky behaviors.

Spread of Misinformation: Users encounter biased or incorrect information.

Targeted Guidance:

Researchers aim to understand these mechanisms better to provide targeted guidance to teens, caregivers, and policymakers.

The Generation Effect

Plateauing of social media use is closely tied to generational behaviors.

Baby Boomers (Born 1946–1964):

Baby Boomers, shaped by collectivism, idealism, and revolutionary ideals, have historically relied on traditional news media such as newspapers, radio, and television.

They consider themselves “digital immigrants” in the online landscape.

Baby Boomers primarily use the internet for information collection, global updates, health news, and financial updates.

Generation X (Born 1965–1980):

Gen Xers embrace a “work hard, play hard” approach to life. Their social media usage has increased significantly over the last decade.

They are comfortable with technology and engage across platforms like Facebook, LinkedIn, and Twitter.

Gen X values privacy and often uses social media for professional networking.

Millennials (Born 1981–1996):

Millennials are the pioneers of social media, growing up alongside its rise.

The share of Millennials who say they use social media has remained largely unchanged since 2012.

Millennials follow influencers and engage in online activism.

Generation Z (Born 1997–2012):

Gen Z, the digital natives, favors visual platforms like Instagram, TikTok, and YouTube.

They value authenticity and actively participate in online communities.

Generation Alpha (Born 2013–Present):

The youngest generation is still too young to independently use social media but is exposed to it through family members and use is accelerating.

Understanding these generational differences helps navigate the evolving landscape of digital connectivity and foster better connections across age groups.

Comment

The Soundtrack of Our Lives: How Music Shapes Generations

Dave Van Dyke April 12, 2024

Music, that intangible force that weaves through the fabric of our existence, has an uncanny ability to evoke memories, emotions, and even shape our identities. Today I’m looking into the intricate relationship between music and generational experiences. In this blog post, we explore how our most-played songs often find their roots in our teenage years, and how cultural preferences dance to the rhythm of generational relativism.

The Teenage Anthem

Remember those adolescent days when life was a mixtape of emotions? The age at which our tastes crystallize has grown younger since the arrival of the internet, social media and the ability to access the entire spectrum of music ever recorded. Between the ages of 13 and 16, our musical tastes form our lifetime preferences. It’s during this transformative period that we discover our anthems—the songs that soundtrack our first crush, our rebellious moments, and our late-night musings. These melodies become the backdrop to our coming-of-age stories, etching themselves into our souls.

The Generational Groove

Cultural preferences are subject to generational relativism. Picture this: the media landscape of our adolescence—the crackling radio, MTV music videos, and mixtapes exchanged with friends. These artifacts shape our musical DNA, imprinting melodies and lyrics onto our impressionable minds. It’s strange how much our 13-year-old selves define our lifelong artistic tastes. At an age when we’re unable to drive, vote, drink alcohol, or pay taxes, we’re old enough to cultivate enduring musical preferences.

Beyond Technology: The Roots of Musical Paralysis

The pervasive nature of music paralysis across generations suggests that its roots go beyond technology. Developmental factors play a role. As we age, our neural pathways solidify, and our openness to new sounds wanes. The soundtrack of our youth becomes a comforting refuge—a familiar chord progression in a world of dissonance.

The Discovery Factor

Survey research from European streaming service Deezer paints a vivid picture. Music discovery reaches its peak at 24, a time when our playlists overflow with eclectic tunes. We explore genres like curious wanderers, savoring each note. But as the calendar pages turn, our ability to keep up with music trends falters. By our early thirties, the tempo slows, and our playlists echo with familiar refrains. Deezer’s study pinpoints 31 as the age when musical tastes start to stagnate.

Deviations from the Mainstream

These findings resonate across time and platforms. A study of Spotify user data from 2014 reveals intriguing deviations. As the years accumulate, our tastes veer away from the mainstream highway. We seek hidden alleys, niche genres, and forgotten classics. Perhaps it’s a rebellion against the predictable, a longing for melodies that defy the algorithmic chorus. Whatever the reason, our musical compass shifts, guided by the echoes of our past

Comment

Traditional Radio’s Unique Selling proposition? Local programming Pro & Con

Dave Van Dyke April 9, 2024

The Pros

The local focus of radio indeed plays a crucial role, especially in the face of growing competition from digital media. Let’s delve into why this is true:

Community Connection and Relevance:

Local radio stations have deep roots within their communities. They serve as a vital link, providing information, entertainment, and a sense of belonging.

By focusing on local news, events, and issues, radio stations create a personal connection with their audience. Listeners feel that the station understands their unique context and concerns.

Hyper-Local Content:

Radio’s strength lies in its ability to deliver hyper-local content. It covers neighborhood happenings, school events, local politics, and small businesses.

Unlike digital platforms, which often cater to broader audiences, radio stations can tailor their programming to specific neighborhoods or towns.

Immediate and Timely Updates:

When a local emergency occurs—be it a natural disaster, traffic accident, or community event—radio is there to provide real-time updates.

Digital media may offer global news, but local radio excels in delivering urgent, localized information that impacts people’s lives directly.

Human Connection and Trust:

Radio personalities become familiar voices in listeners’ lives. Their authenticity and relatability build trust.

In contrast, digital media lacks the personal touch of a local DJ or host who knows the community intimately.

Local Advertising and Support:

Local businesses rely on radio to reach their target audience. Radio ads are effective because they resonate with the community.

By supporting local businesses, radio stations contribute to the economic health of the area.

Navigating Digital Challenges:

While digital media offers convenience and global reach, it can be overwhelming. Radio’s local focus provides a counterbalance.

Stations can leverage digital tools (websites, social media, podcasts) to complement their on-air presence while maintaining their local essence.

Legislative Support:

Initiatives like the Local Journalism Sustainability Act propose tax credits for local media outlets, encouraging their survival in the digital age1.

These efforts recognize the importance of local journalism and its role in fostering informed communities.

The Con:

**Digital Competition and Changing Habits:

In today’s digital age, consumption habits have shifted significantly. People now access news, entertainment, and information through various online platforms, podcasts, and streaming services.

Digital media offers convenience, personalization, and a vast array of content choices. Radio faces stiff competition from these alternatives.

**Economic Challenges:

Local radio stations often struggle with financial constraints. Advertisers increasingly allocate budgets to digital channels, leaving radio with limited revenue.

Maintaining quality local programming requires investment, but financial pressures can hinder stations from delivering compelling content consistently.

**Audience Fragmentation:

The rise of digital media has led to audience fragmentation. People now seek content tailored to their specific interests.

Local radio, while valuable, may not cater to niche audiences as effectively as specialized digital platforms.

**Technological Advancements:

Digital media offers interactivity, personal playlists, and on-demand content. Radio, despite its local focus, lacks these features.

As technology evolves, radio must find ways to integrate local content seamlessly into digital experiences.

**Limited Reach and Signal Strength:

Geographical limitations affect radio’s reach. Remote areas may receive weak signals or lack local stations altogether.

Digital platforms transcend physical boundaries, providing broader access.

**Content Repetition and Staleness:

Some local stations struggle with repetitive content. Limited resources lead to recycling news and music playlists.

Digital platforms offer fresh, diverse content, reducing the appeal of local radio for certain listeners.

**Demographic Shifts:

Younger generations gravitate toward digital media. They seek personalized experiences and content relevant to their lives.

Radio must adapt to attract and retain younger listeners who may not prioritize local programming.

**Technological Adaptation:

While local focus is crucial, radio must embrace technology. Streaming, podcasts, and social media integration are essential.

Stations that resist digital transformation risk becoming obsolete.

**Community Engagement Beyond Broadcasting:

Radio’s role extends beyond broadcasting. It must actively engage with the community through events, social media, and partnerships.

Community involvement strengthens radio’s relevance and impact.

**Government Support and Policy Changes:

Initiatives like the Local Journalism Sustainability Act propose tax credits for local media. However, broader policy changes are needed.

Advocacy for radio’s survival requires collaboration with policymakers and industry stakeholders1.

In summary, while local programming remains vital, radio’s survival hinges on strategic adaptation, technological innovation, and holistic community engagement. 📻🌐

Comment
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How On-line Playlisting Can Save Music Radio

For music programmers who have been utilizing on-demand streaming data to properly align their on-air music with true music consumption, here's some news: Playlisting has become the dominant way most music fans listen.

At Bridge Ratings we have been tracking music consumption through on-demand streaming services for over four years. We now share this data with our music radio clients seeking to properly align their on-air song exposure to their listeners' actual consumption.

In a typical year we process and analyze hundreds of millions of streams from across the U.S. and, more specifically, by market and station.

Over the past three years we have undertaken an analysis of music streaming consumption and learned almost immediately in the fall of 2015 that playlisting plays a significant role in the way the average person consumes music through on-demand streaming platforms.

Playlist is a term to describe a list of video or audio files that can be played back on a media player sequentially or in random order. In its most general form, an audioplaylist is simply a list of songs, but sometimes a loop.

What We've Learned

[More...]

Read the full article in the Navigate the Future Blog.

For further information or advisement contact Dave Van Dyke:  dvd@bridgeratings.com  |  (323) 696-0967

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